Election Wipe-Out for Left Parties

Submitted by Volin on 4 May, 2007 - 18:30.

It's all over for the SSP (Solidarity and any other two-bit left political party), with the number of socialist representatives being flattened from six to zero. Before their split, the Scottish Socialist Party were on course to increase their number of seats, and may well have become a major small party in parliament even in the face of competition from the SNP. But now Sheridan's sex scandal and in-fighting have sent them back to a state of marginalism and on-looking in power politics. All minority parties suffered but none quite so much as the state socialists who are now in their worst state for decades.

If they manage to get a coalition, probably with the LibDems and only two remaining Green MSPs, the nationalist SNP will head parliament under Alex Salmond.

What are people's thoughts?

One of the main props of parties like the SSP is that they built up a broad activist base. Now they have not even a sole representative, they'll have to work on extra-parliamentary activity if they're to continue at all as a group. It could mean quite an interesting time in the very projects we're involved in and, as anarchists, the stressing of socialism as an anti-parliamentarian movement.

4 May, 2007 - 21:14

Hopefully at some point it will sink into them that sectarian behaviour harms both of them.

Agree that this gives us a lot of potential. In the community here, plus in IWW we've been working with SSP members anyway. However most SSP'ers are frustrating to work with, as like most party politicos they'll drop anything and everything if their party clicks its fingers. Hopefully they'll now be a bit more disillusioned/realistic about it and more committed to real working class organising, not just as a way of trying to get votes. ~shrug~

4 May, 2007 - 23:56

As an Englishman, I find the deterioration of left-wing politics in the Scots mainstream (Scottish Parliament) very depressing.

I swore a terrible oath that I'd one day move across the border. I'm far from being a romantic about these things, though my roots are Scottish, but I loath that 'plastic' nationality stuff.

Independence is one thing, I'd be on the first plane, but I find myself more closely tied with Scots sensibilities for meaningful social justice than the 'New Labour' view prevalent this side of the border.

What exactly would be the point of a capitalist Scotland?

I'm English, I cannot deny it, but I have always felt a closer kinship with the grassroots politics of the Scots, Welsh and Irish, and most importantly with the NORTH of England rather than the mockney, or genuinely cockney, morris dancing, Nathan Barley stereotypes of the South (and East).

Volin amd Ginger, all power to your elbow!

5 May, 2007 - 16:12

Stop crowing and get organising. ;-p There's two of you now - when you starting Eilean a' Cheo branch of the AF and what and where is Highlands IWW these days? You're in the country for another year or something aren't you?

6 May, 2007 - 12:16

Oh yes, yes indeedy.

I can't help but be 'ever so slightly' celebratory; their combined antics have undermined and discredited them completely. Socialism as the parties saw is dead on its feet, and using their own yardstick. But joking aside, you're right we shouldn't gloat too long but take advantage! I'd love to hear and discuss these issues at the next RiB, but unfortunately I won't be able to make it, so let us know how it goes.

Specifically I've got some hopes for up north, we won't let Clydeside comrades down*!

*(fuck, then I need to back it up) wink

7 May, 2007 - 03:02

Whatever happened to the whatever between the SSP deputy and their IWW employees?

2 June, 2007 - 21:11

I think any serious analysis of the elections results can only lead to the conclusion that the split in the two parties had no effect.

The main story was the avalanche of votes that left the SNP and went to the Greens and SSP in 2003, simply returned as the SNP were stronger.

The idea that the SSP were on course to increase their seats before the split is nonsense, their vote was dwindling in election after election.

In byelections they were barely registering and in the last national test in 2005 the SSP scored almost the exact number that they polled between the parties in the Scottish elections last month (44k last month, 43k in 2005).

Meanwhile the greens who had matched the SSP in 2003 saw their vote fall to the same level as in the 1999 scottish elections.

4 June, 2007 - 00:50

Nah. You have to add SSP's vote to Solidarity's vote, which polled far higher, for a fair test. The public bought Sheridan's argument, and saw the SSP as being sectarian, which was the message of papers like the Herald after the court case. Sheridan never got in of course (for the reasons you highlight), but it would be false to assume that this was not the result of a split in the parties.

I believe it was obvious that this was the intention of the SWP to begin with. I think they believed Sheridan was their major threat so they backed him and bolstered him into thinking he could start his own party, which you joined for rather a different reason, mostly to destroy his credibility and see the SSP wiped out electorally as a prelude to forming Respect in Scotland. From a confused onlookers point of view this makes perfect sense for them as they are now poised to do this as the SSP farts about for another six months with its 800 or so members and Solidarity falls apart.

Whether this is relevant to the class struggle or not is a rather different question but it blatantly would have been better for the cause of electoral social democratic politics to have avoided the whole debacle and exercised whatever influence as possible to have avoided a split before a seminal election. I think there is a failure in the SSP to understand electoral politics. For the Greens it makes little difference how many MSPs they return, as long as they can be coalition makers they can get their cycle lanes and windfarms. An SSP which was seriously committed to parliamentary politics would not have been so childish as to protest at the G8 in parliament, would not have split over one man's ego, would not hold 'unity and integrity' rallies, would still have the affiliation of the RMT, and frankly now would have been in government, making itself synonymous with the parliamentary institutions and winning concessions on free school meals and prescription charges. An SSP which was revolutionary (as opposed to just really confused) would not give too shits about elections, compared with its other activities, as right now such an organisation wouldn't stand a chance at winning seats in any election. By failing to placate Sheridan and handing the SWiPs a gifthorse like this the SSP have set themselves back a decade.

If nothing else this whole sordid affair shows the bankruptcy of a socialist politics that puts electoralism before the wider class struggle. It makes the politics a soldier of fortune to the media and sephological phenomena, and it means that you recruit people based on the most minimum programme politics who then are only interested in fighting in elections. Over time this skews parties like the SSP, which make it out of the party political wilderness, to move further and further to demagogy and the right.

While on the whole I'm saddened by the affair and recognise that it will lead to a number of retrenchments in the 'body politic' so represented in the mass media and force socialist ideas to become more subjectively 'extreme' (which will have negative effects in the years to come) it does also present an opportunity to do something a bit different, with a greater hope of success. On that basis I'm unconvinced that this election has been an entirely negative outcome.

6 June, 2007 - 21:12

I only joined the SSP a few months back after the split. Why? My concerns are not for national politics but to highlight the problems of those who aspire to be working class. With heroin at £5 a bag in my neck of the woods and Buckfast £5.27 you can envisage where I come from. The SSP are the only organisation that can, at this moment, allow me to raise my concerns on a public platform. The actions of the SWP is logical to these political moonies, and they will be well pleased, as for the CWI, who knows. Is this the death of left wing parliamentary politics in Holyrood, depends. A single party of the left or rainbow alliance could carry a dozen or so seats at the next election which is probably an irrelevance. For those who like figures more people voted for SSP council candidates than list msp's.

Quote:
You have to add SSP's vote to Solidarity's vote, which polled far higher, for a fair test.

You could add the BNP to this equation with their leftist facist stance targetted at the young unemployed. Me, I havent a clue except were in the shit.

6 June, 2007 - 22:36

£5 a bag? Please please spread this about so the cunt upstairs from me losses business.

7 June, 2007 - 12:19
Quote:
You could add the BNP to this equation with their leftist facist stance targetted at the young unemployed. Me, I havent a clue except were in the shit.

I don't think we are jas.

Quote:
My concerns are not for national politics but to highlight the problems of those who aspire to be working class.

Full employment is something that could be reached, but it's a question of tactics. Essentially what would be required is for local government to invest in big transport infrastructure projects which encourage companies to locate and employ far more public sector workers, give more apprenticeships, and provide start-up capital for businesses. If this was tied into a reform of companies legislation and progressive social policies (like free domestic repairs like they have in Renfrewshite) then we'd be getting somewhere. I'm all for reforms (actually I'm for reforms which lead to social control of the economy and direct democracy, "revolution") but as you state getting more people into parliament is basically irrelevant towards achieving this unless you can win the executive (which left wing parties never will).

8 June, 2007 - 09:00

I did add the solidarity and SSP votes!

Read it again. I compared the SSP vote in the 2005 general elections (43,000) with the combined vote of SSP Solidarity last month (44,000 - 31k sol, 12k ssp).

Actually this is also an almost exact repeat of the SSP vote in the 1999 holryrood elections (46k).

Thats shows that this is roughly the level of the socialist vote in scotland and that it wasnt the split that affected the result.

To underline this we can look at the vote for the greens which also follows the same pattern. Their vote last month has fallen, also to more or less the same levels as in the 1999 scottish elections (84k last mont 86k in 1999). For further back up to this theory look at the SNPs votes on the lists cadidates (633k lasy month 638k in 1999).

To me this shows that the votes in 2003 were a blip and not a sign that left parties and/or the greens were making long term headway.

I think that people who think the public bought sheridans story over the SSPs or that the public rejected both parties are not looking at this objectively and have already decided the split caused the poor showing.

The actual results in terms of votes over the last few years does not back this up. The greens didnt have a split or a court case yet had the same result as the SSP and Solidarity.

Scottish Elections 1999 (regional list votes) SNP 638,000 Greens 86,000 SSP 46,000
Scottish Elections 2003 - SNP 399,000 Greens 132,000 SSP 128,000
Scottish elections 2007 - SNP 633,000 Greens 84,000 SSP/Solidarity 44,000

The 2003 elections took place against the background of the invasion of Iraq and The SNP being weak at the time after Salmond was replaced by John Swinney.

This year Salmond was back, people thought that the SNP could beat Labour and their votes returned to them. Any specualtion on what might have happened in the left vote of their had been no split or court case is just that, pure speculation.

If the SSP and Solidarity had been combined the result would have elected Tommy Sheridan as the only socialist MSP at the expense of Green MSP Patrick Harvey in Glasgow meaning that, not only would there have been one Green and One Socialist as in 1999, it would have the same two MSPs, Robin Harper and Tommy Sheridan.

The most that could be claimed re the split is that it prevented Tommy Sheridan from being elected in Glasgow, but didnt stop the SSP getting elected anywhere.

As far the council elections, its clear that the SSP did badly there as well.

I think it is more to do with the sort of party they have become rather than the court case or split.

Since 2003 they changed their course significantly and had little or no activism in communities, with everything centred around parliamentary bills and interventions at high profile national events.

9 June, 2007 - 08:29
Quote:
Since 2003 they changed their course significantly and had little or no activism in communities, with everything centred around parliamentary bills and interventions at high profile national events.

Yeah, on that I'm in 100% agreement with you.

15 June, 2007 - 22:55

In the "lower" working lass/ lumpen areas of my ward turnout was 30%, around a quarter of the people I know are not on the electoral roll, in the middleclass areas it was 60%. Basicallly the working class have walked away from the parliamentry model, but perhaps I have a naive belief in some form of elected assembly. Any examples out there, apart from Spain, where syndicalists, anarchists etc have participated ina "democratic" election.

17 June, 2007 - 00:22

aye, my take on years 2005-7 were that the collapse in support for the SSP gave the SNP a big momentum approaching the run-up to May 2007. from last summer on they'd overtaken the Liberal Democrats as the party for the media to hype

it wasn't that long ago that the SNP were getting hammered by the Liberals in by-elections mind, but the transfer of 3-6% to the SNP in opinion polls changed all that and it gave the media a story to build the election around, 'the independence election'.

Its a good point about the SSP not knowing whether they were serious about parliamentary politics - I also think that the revolutionary stuff were kept out of the public eye until 2003, and that stunts like the g8 protest and the g8 in general in fact, were a big part of the downfall - TS wasn't daft in avoiding that stuff, he knew that it was going to be a whole lot of grief that the media would never meet him halfway on.

no matter what anyone says, it has to be a shame that at a time when events at Holyrood have actually become moderately interesting that there isn't a socialist or pro-w/c voice in the place

imo the SSP might do well to copy the Dutch socialist party, cut out the more obscure leftist stuff and go for parliamentary politics fully committed. that or go for the next local elections and build from the bottom up. either way they have to decide what they want to be about, and stick to it