There are at least 3 main intrigue of the era of Donald Trump, and one Central issue. The potential of social protests of the USA workers depends on the decision of the Central issue: this is the question of re-industrialization.
1. Will there be a turn in US foreign policy; confrontation between America and China? Does America create an Alliance with India and (perhaps?) with Russia against China? Is this serious at all? How, then, will become the world looks like and what can cause a spiral of confrontation of the giants?
...Almost nobody talk about it, but in fact the tension between the US and China began to increase during Obama's time due to the collision of interests of the two greatest Nations in East Asia. Obama's sanctions against North Korea made China very angry. It is possible that the increase confrontation between US and China is an objective process (it is an opinion expressed by some serious experts on East Asia).
2. Can Trump run a massive programme of re-industrialization of the USA on the basis of modern technologys?
This question is Central. Trump's program includes three main points:
a) Radical increase of duties on imported goods in the US
b) Radical reduction of taxes on business)
с) Radical deregulation.
This combination of Protectionism and Reaganomics was designed to protect American trade and to return USA millions of jobs from China and Mexico.
Protectionism means a trade war with China and organically linked with the project of political confrontation between the USA and China. To this we must add the idea of a president Trump to increase dramatically the military spending. It is aimed at the increase in jobs in the United States and the increase of American military force aimed against China.
But China may use even more radical tax cuts for corporate business to keep it. Actually nobody knows what will be the economic and political implications from all this.
Economist Konstantin Frumkin: "There are Estimates already published, according to which a large part of the of jobs in the U.S. industry in recent years was eliminated not due to the transfer of production to Asia but due to new technologies. So the more return policy in production will not bring many jobs back in the USA."
3. What will happen to the working class of the US?
A Professor at Columbia University Navid Hassanpour:
""Trump became President of the "Rust belt" — the American Midwest, which is suffering from the decline of industrial production, unemployment and General economic distress. Most States, proved victory of Trump, are concentrated in this region - Pennsylvania, Ohio, Wisconsin, Aiowa... Michigan has made a dramatic shift in their electoral preferences for the first time in a long time voted for the Republican candidate. In Michigan you can find the worst examples of the collapse of the first successful cities and social decline. What an important: Victory of Trump, with one exception (Florida), was won in the "Rust belt" means that his promises to "restore the manufacturing sector within the United States" and "the return of plants to the homeland" worked among those who are most hard hit by de-industrialization... In the last 20 years the motor of electoral politics in America was the support of multiculturalism, which is inextricably linked with the services sector is expected to thrive while the sector is growing. But at the same time, the mechanism of electoral mobilization in America still relies on slow-moving institutions related to industry and agriculture... It's still has meaning to build campaign around the communities suffering from industrial decline. Donald Trump seems to have understood it"".
Left (s-d) Russian economist Boris Kagarlitsky told US created the conditions for the formation of a new industry and theoretically this could lead to the creation of many jobs. Moreover, re-industrialization is already happening thanks to the shale revolution in the oil industry there were several large strikes. On the other hand, if the re-industrialization will not happen, it can cause the anger of workers and unemployed in the Rust-belt - the territory gave victory to Trump.
In any case, there is possibility for the large-scale proletarian protests. It would be curious if it was found group, which could create Real IWW - a multinational organization of struggle at the factory, rejecting the collective agreement with the boss and cooperation with the state commissions and courts. Theoretically, the preconditions for such workers direct action can appear.
Don't know if this helps the discussion of part one or even if the link works but her goes
http://www.leftcom.org/en/articles/2017-02-03/russia-china-and-the-usa%E...